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Surface observations this morning show the surface low centered over New England, with a cold front extending from near the MA/RI/CT Triple Point southwestward, closely following the coastline to near Jacksonville, FL (the front is just offshore). Rhode Island and southeast Massachusetts are still on the warm side of the […]
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Hi all. Just checking in with a quick morning update. Everything from last night’s forecast is still right on track. This morning’s model runs are showing the strongest winds across coastal areas southern and eastern New England, including Massachusetts, Rhode Island, and much of Connecticut. This swath of strong winds will shift […]
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The low that will become the first nor’easter of this winter season is getting set to pop out off the Georgia coast, upon which it will wind up and head right up the east coast. The good news is that the wind and precipitation will be confined primarily to the […]
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A big blast of arctic air is set to invade the Great Plains the next few days, bringing the chance for winter precipitation to parts of the region. I am not expecting this to be a significant storm, but it will bring very cold temperatures and the chance of all […]
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I have been away from the blog for a few weeks due to being sucked into the baseball playoffs (Go Sox!) and being off on some photography adventures, as the fall colors have been peaking here in Oklahoma over the past couple weeks. I am back now and will be […]
Read MoreWell, it appears fall is finally arriving to much of the continental US. A strong upper level low is slowly moving east across the northern US, dragging a strong cold front behind it. While it will not be a crushing winter storm like we recently saw in South Dakota, some […]
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With the beginning of the fall or “second” severe weather season here on the Great Plains, coupled with the tropics remaining quiet, I am going to shift this week’s discussion from the tropics back closer to home and talk about severe weather. The fall severe weather season started quite emphatically […]
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Once again, the tropics have gone quiet, with no indication of any significant activity over the next week. Models are indicating that high pressure will dominate the central and southern North Atlantic, preventing organized convection and thunderstorm activity. Longer-term models are showing that high pressure becoming stronger in the next […]
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After a brief uptick in tropical cyclone activity in the past two weeks, the outlook for this week looks very quiet for both the Atlantic and Eastern Pacific basins. As we saw earlier this summer, a strong area of high pressure will set up over the south-central Atlantic, and the […]
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We officially have our first hurricane of the 2013 Atlantic season. Earlier this morning, Humberto was upgraded to a hurricane, coming within a few hours of the Atlantic record for latest first hurricane. Humberto currently sits over the far eastern Atlantic, right off the west coast of Africa, and is […]
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Large Scale Setup/Discussion A large ridge of high pressure, or heat dome, has begun to set up over the central US this week, and will be strengthening as we head into this weekend and early next week. As a result, the main branch of the jet stream has been pushed […]
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Large Scale Setup/Discussion A weak wave of energy is currently crossing Colorado’s Rocky Mountains and is forecast to undergo “lee cyclogenesis” (it’s actually more of a lee intensification) as it ejects off the Front Range and into the Great Plains on Thursday, ahead of a much more powerful upper level […]
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