My COVID-19 model is actually giving me results. Let’s open the hood and look at some of the mathematics, methodologies, and logic I use to make my projections. I wrote the model in Python. It has a simple graphical user interface that runs in a web browser. The SIR Model: […]
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Below you will find the latest state and provincial projections from the 15 April model run of my COVID-19 model for the US and Canada. I have included states and provinces that are in “hot” areas in both countries, as well as places where I have friends, family, and other […]
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From a mathematical standpoint, figuring out when a country, state, province, county, or city has hit the peak of the COVID-19 pandemic is not an exact science. Instead, it relies on pattern recognition in the data. We’re going to look at data from several countries and states to identify examples […]
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Here is a full look at the outputs from our revised SIR model. I have included plots from hot spots in both the US and Canada as well as cities where I have friends, family, and loved ones. I can run these simulations for just about any city in the […]
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The COVID-19 pandemic has been absolutely fascinating to watch from a mathematical modeling standpoint. As the pandemic starts taking a stranglehold on the United States this week, let’s have a look at a few different COVID-19 models, including my SIR model. Can we gauge any semblance of what’s going to […]
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During one of the New England Patriots’ recent runs to a Super Bowl victory, head coach Bill Belichick put it pretty well: “Do Your Job.” Everybody in the organization, from the owners all the way down to the team’s interns, had a job to do in order for the team […]
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Well, it looks like the coronavirus has arrived in full-force here in the United States. COVID-19 will likely cause some disruptions to day-to-day life. Being a math person, the outbreak has piqued my interest in modeling and simulating some possible scenarios for the COVID-19 outbreak in the United States. Before […]
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I’m back in the 405, yeah Toby Keith It’s always great to go back to your old stomping grounds and this time was no different. After being on the road for three days, I was looking forward to a few days out of the truck and catching up with friends […]
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Amarillo by morning, Amarillo’s on my mind George Strait Palo Duro Canyon has been on my bucket list ever since I lived in Norman. Moving to Arizona and exploring the southwest only fueled my desire to visit even more. This trip, I finally decided that I would make the trip […]
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Now I don’t knowI don’t knowI don’t know where I’m a gonna goWhen the volcano blow. Jimmy Buffett Set on top of the Continental Divide outside of Grants, New Mexico at an elevation of 8,000 feet, the Bandera Volcano is a fantastic adventure. Cool off, take in the fresh mountain […]
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Well, we have our first named storm of the 2014 Hurricane Season. As of this morning’s 11 AM EDT advisory from the National Hurricane Center, Arthur was centered just east of Daytona Beach, FL with maximum sustained winds of 60 mph. The storm is forecast to move up the east […]
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Cloudy with a change of cinnabons? No, Jim Gaffigan is not coming to your neighborhood. Nor will tasty baked goods be falling from the sky (how awesome would that be though). Instead, one of the most impressively beautiful and textbook upper-level mid-latitude storm systems in recent years is currently coming […]
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