A powerful Arctic cold front will collide with rich Gulf of Mexico moisture to bring a plethora of wintry mess to the Gulf Coast before continuing on to the Georgia and Carolina coasts. Behind the frontal passage this evening, temperatures will quickly plunge into the 20s and 30s along the […]
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Another Tricky Winter Forecast for Oklahoma
A very powerful arctic cold front will be impacting much of the lower 48 this week, bringing the coldest air in over a year to much of the plains. Several waves of jet stream energy will come out across Oklahoma between Thursday and Monday, resulting in all sorts of winter […]
Read MoreQuick Update: Thanksgiving East Coast Storm
Surface observations this morning show the surface low centered over New England, with a cold front extending from near the MA/RI/CT Triple Point southwestward, closely following the coastline to near Jacksonville, FL (the front is just offshore). Rhode Island and southeast Massachusetts are still on the warm side of the […]
Read MoreMorning Update: Thanksgiving East Coast Storm
Hi all. Just checking in with a quick morning update. Everything from last night’s forecast is still right on track. This morning’s model runs are showing the strongest winds across coastal areas southern and eastern New England, including Massachusetts, Rhode Island, and much of Connecticut. This swath of strong winds will shift […]
Read MoreCoastal Storm Getting Set to Impact the East Coast
The low that will become the first nor’easter of this winter season is getting set to pop out off the Georgia coast, upon which it will wind up and head right up the east coast. The good news is that the wind and precipitation will be confined primarily to the […]
Read MoreWinter Weather Set to Invade the Southern Plains
A big blast of arctic air is set to invade the Great Plains the next few days, bringing the chance for winter precipitation to parts of the region. I am not expecting this to be a significant storm, but it will bring very cold temperatures and the chance of all […]
Read MoreExtreme Weather Slams Parts of the Far East
I have been away from the blog for a few weeks due to being sucked into the baseball playoffs (Go Sox!) and being off on some photography adventures, as the fall colors have been peaking here in Oklahoma over the past couple weeks. I am back now and will be […]
Read MoreBig Cool Down Coming to Much of the Continental US
Well, it appears fall is finally arriving to much of the continental US. A strong upper level low is slowly moving east across the northern US, dragging a strong cold front behind it. While it will not be a crushing winter storm like we recently saw in South Dakota, some […]
Read MoreWeekly Severe Weather Outlook: October 7, 2013
With the beginning of the fall or “second” severe weather season here on the Great Plains, coupled with the tropics remaining quiet, I am going to shift this week’s discussion from the tropics back closer to home and talk about severe weather. The fall severe weather season started quite emphatically […]
Read MoreWeekly Tropical Weather Outlook: September 30, 2013
Once again, the tropics have gone quiet, with no indication of any significant activity over the next week. Models are indicating that high pressure will dominate the central and southern North Atlantic, preventing organized convection and thunderstorm activity. Longer-term models are showing that high pressure becoming stronger in the next […]
Read MoreWeekly Tropical Weather Outlook: September 23, 2013
After a brief uptick in tropical cyclone activity in the past two weeks, the outlook for this week looks very quiet for both the Atlantic and Eastern Pacific basins. As we saw earlier this summer, a strong area of high pressure will set up over the south-central Atlantic, and the […]
Read MoreMay 31st El Reno Tornado May Be the Most Powerful Tornado Ever Recorded
Just a few weeks after the National Weather Service downgraded the May 31, 2013 El Reno, Oklahoma tornado from EF-5 to EF-3, a research paper published this week suggested that this tornado may be the largest most powerful (note that I say powerful, not destructive) tornado ever recorded, having been […]
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