You’ve probably seen the extensive news coverage of some US states that are reopening. Georgia, which started reopening last week, has made the most headlines over the past week or so. A lot of people are asking what will happen if, say, Georgia were to open before the models say […]
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My COVID-19 model is actually giving me results. Let’s open the hood and look at some of the mathematics, methodologies, and logic I use to make my projections. I wrote the model in Python. It has a simple graphical user interface that runs in a web browser. The SIR Model: […]
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Below you will find the latest state and provincial projections from the 15 April model run of my COVID-19 model for the US and Canada. I have included states and provinces that are in “hot” areas in both countries, as well as places where I have friends, family, and other […]
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From a mathematical standpoint, figuring out when a country, state, province, county, or city has hit the peak of the COVID-19 pandemic is not an exact science. Instead, it relies on pattern recognition in the data. We’re going to look at data from several countries and states to identify examples […]
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Here is a full look at the outputs from our revised SIR model. I have included plots from hot spots in both the US and Canada as well as cities where I have friends, family, and loved ones. I can run these simulations for just about any city in the […]
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The COVID-19 pandemic has been absolutely fascinating to watch from a mathematical modeling standpoint. As the pandemic starts taking a stranglehold on the United States this week, let’s have a look at a few different COVID-19 models, including my SIR model. Can we gauge any semblance of what’s going to […]
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As many of you already know, Arizona issued a “Stay At Home” order on Monday, March 30th. It went into effect yesterday at 5 PM local time, and lasts through at least the end of April. Here is an update on the status of my operations. The good news is […]
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During one of the New England Patriots’ recent runs to a Super Bowl victory, head coach Bill Belichick put it pretty well: “Do Your Job.” Everybody in the organization, from the owners all the way down to the team’s interns, had a job to do in order for the team […]
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Hi Everyone. Just wanted to give you all a quick update on the status of operations of my websites, adventures, business, blog, and everything else during the COVID-19 pandemic. I am making every effort to minimize the disruption during these unprecedented times. However, as we learned this week, things can […]
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Well, it looks like the coronavirus has arrived in full-force here in the United States. COVID-19 will likely cause some disruptions to day-to-day life. Being a math person, the outbreak has piqued my interest in modeling and simulating some possible scenarios for the COVID-19 outbreak in the United States. Before […]
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