Amidst the craziness of the pandemic, a giant Saharan dust plume has made its way across the Atlantic Ocean. It has started affecting the United States, as well as the rest of North America and the Caribbean. Today, we’re going to look at 13 facts about Saharan Sand Storms. We’ll […]
Read MorePost Tagged with: "United States"
Coronavirus Model Swings: A Tale of Two Scenarios
It was all over the news yesterday: a key coronavirus model’s projected COVID-19 death counts by early August nearly doubled overnight after seeing a just-as-rapid decline in projected deaths about three weeks ago. What’s with that? A lot of people on TV seem to want to point the finger at […]
Read MoreA First Look at State Reopening Strategies
You’ve probably seen the extensive news coverage of some US states that are reopening. Georgia, which started reopening last week, has made the most headlines over the past week or so. A lot of people are asking what will happen if, say, Georgia were to open before the models say […]
Read MoreA Look at the Best-Fit COVID-19 Model Curves for 24 Key States and Provinces
Below you will find the latest state and provincial projections from the 15 April model run of my COVID-19 model for the US and Canada. I have included states and provinces that are in “hot” areas in both countries, as well as places where I have friends, family, and other […]
Read MoreComplete Revised SIR Model Forecasts (8 April): USA and Canada
Here is a full look at the outputs from our revised SIR model. I have included plots from hot spots in both the US and Canada as well as cities where I have friends, family, and loved ones. I can run these simulations for just about any city in the […]
Read MoreAmerica, Please Don’t Quarantine Yourself From Knowledge
During one of the New England Patriots’ recent runs to a Super Bowl victory, head coach Bill Belichick put it pretty well: “Do Your Job.” Everybody in the organization, from the owners all the way down to the team’s interns, had a job to do in order for the team […]
Read MoreSimulating the COVID-19 Outbreak in the United States with Gaussian Functions
Well, it looks like the coronavirus has arrived in full-force here in the United States. COVID-19 will likely cause some disruptions to day-to-day life. Being a math person, the outbreak has piqued my interest in modeling and simulating some possible scenarios for the COVID-19 outbreak in the United States. Before […]
Read MoreEclipse Side Trip: Exploring the Oregon Coast
The day after the 2017 solar eclipse, we did not want to have to sit in traffic on the I-5 driving back to San Francisco. Instead, we decided to head out and explore the Oregon Coast for the day. Our original plan was to drive to Newport, turn north, and […]
Read MoreBig Cool Down Coming to Much of the Continental US
Well, it appears fall is finally arriving to much of the continental US. A strong upper level low is slowly moving east across the northern US, dragging a strong cold front behind it. While it will not be a crushing winter storm like we recently saw in South Dakota, some […]
Read MoreQuiet Weather Pattern to Settle In for the Remainder of August
Large Scale Setup/Discussion A large ridge of high pressure, or heat dome, has begun to set up over the central US this week, and will be strengthening as we head into this weekend and early next week. As a result, the main branch of the jet stream has been pushed […]
Read More