Amidst the craziness of the pandemic, a giant Saharan dust plume has made its way across the Atlantic Ocean. It has started affecting the United States, as well as the rest of North America and the Caribbean. Today, we’re going to look at 13 facts about Saharan Sand Storms. We’ll […]
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Many of you know that I did a lot of storm chasing during my time studying meteorology at the University of Oklahoma. When you chase storms, you will inevitably get yourself into some unnerving situations, and you learn pretty quickly that the best time to panic is never. That is […]
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Today, let’s take a virtual trip south of the border to explore the more unusual side of Mexico’s geography. From the hot, dusty deserts in the north to stunning Sierra Madre Occidental and Oriental Mountains to the tropical jungles in the south, Mexico is an incredibly diverse country with so […]
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I know we’re all tired of hearing about COVID-19, so let’s pivot away from that and focus on a topic that is much nicer to think about. I’ve decided to expand the scope of this blog a bit to cover some of my other hobbies and passions, which include good […]
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It was all over the news yesterday: a key coronavirus model’s projected COVID-19 death counts by early August nearly doubled overnight after seeing a just-as-rapid decline in projected deaths about three weeks ago. What’s with that? A lot of people on TV seem to want to point the finger at […]
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You’ve probably seen the extensive news coverage of some US states that are reopening. Georgia, which started reopening last week, has made the most headlines over the past week or so. A lot of people are asking what will happen if, say, Georgia were to open before the models say […]
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My COVID-19 model is actually giving me results. Let’s open the hood and look at some of the mathematics, methodologies, and logic I use to make my projections. I wrote the model in Python. It has a simple graphical user interface that runs in a web browser. The SIR Model: […]
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Below you will find the latest state and provincial projections from the 15 April model run of my COVID-19 model for the US and Canada. I have included states and provinces that are in “hot” areas in both countries, as well as places where I have friends, family, and other […]
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From a mathematical standpoint, figuring out when a country, state, province, county, or city has hit the peak of the COVID-19 pandemic is not an exact science. Instead, it relies on pattern recognition in the data. We’re going to look at data from several countries and states to identify examples […]
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Here is a full look at the outputs from our revised SIR model. I have included plots from hot spots in both the US and Canada as well as cities where I have friends, family, and loved ones. I can run these simulations for just about any city in the […]
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The COVID-19 pandemic has been absolutely fascinating to watch from a mathematical modeling standpoint. As the pandemic starts taking a stranglehold on the United States this week, let’s have a look at a few different COVID-19 models, including my SIR model. Can we gauge any semblance of what’s going to […]
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As many of you already know, Arizona issued a “Stay At Home” order on Monday, March 30th. It went into effect yesterday at 5 PM local time, and lasts through at least the end of April. Here is an update on the status of my operations. The good news is […]
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