Well, we’ve got another classic and textbook bomb cyclone that got its crosshairs firmly trained on southern New England. It’s expected to arrive sometime late Friday or early Saturday. The low will soon form off the coast of the Carolina. As it heads north, it will undergo bombogenesis as it […]
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Hurricane Henri is at the doorstep and closing in on its New England target. Its effects are already being felt across all of southern New England. Unfortunately, if you haven’t begun storm prep yet, it’s too late. Conditions will continue to deteriorate across the region throughout this morning and into […]
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After a fickle 48 hours of massive track shifts across southern New England, models are finally converging on a solution as Henri trains its crosshairs square on the south coast. The westward march of Henri’s track has stopped, and this morning’s model runs have actually brought the track back to […]
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Almost 30 years to the day after Hurricane Bob made landfall in Rhode Island, Hurricane Henri is set to be the first storm in a long time to make landfall in New England as a hurricane. If you live anywhere in New England, particularly on the south coast, you need […]
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Below you will find the latest state and provincial projections from the 15 April model run of my COVID-19 model for the US and Canada. I have included states and provinces that are in “hot” areas in both countries, as well as places where I have friends, family, and other […]
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I am watching two possible areas for winter weather over the next three to four days. The first is a coastal storm that may bring some gusy winds and light snow to the northeast Sunday, and the other is an upper-level storm system that could bring more snow and ice […]
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Surface observations this morning show the surface low centered over New England, with a cold front extending from near the MA/RI/CT Triple Point southwestward, closely following the coastline to near Jacksonville, FL (the front is just offshore). Rhode Island and southeast Massachusetts are still on the warm side of the […]
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Hi all. Just checking in with a quick morning update. Everything from last night’s forecast is still right on track. This morning’s model runs are showing the strongest winds across coastal areas southern and eastern New England, including Massachusetts, Rhode Island, and much of Connecticut. This swath of strong winds will shift […]
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The low that will become the first nor’easter of this winter season is getting set to pop out off the Georgia coast, upon which it will wind up and head right up the east coast. The good news is that the wind and precipitation will be confined primarily to the […]
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Large Scale Setup/Discussion A weak wave of energy is currently crossing Colorado’s Rocky Mountains and is forecast to undergo “lee cyclogenesis” (it’s actually more of a lee intensification) as it ejects off the Front Range and into the Great Plains on Thursday, ahead of a much more powerful upper level […]
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