Post Tagged with: "Mathematical Model"

350,000 Daily Cases in the US: An Impending COVID-19 Disaster

No, that headline is not a type-o. It’s what most mathematical models are forecasting for the COVID-19 peak in the United States this winter. With 185,000 new cases yesterday alone, COVID-19 is rapidly approaching crisis levels in the United States. Hospitals and ICU’s are nearing capacity in many states as […]

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COVID-19 Surge in Europe: How Bad will it Get?

The recent COVID-19 surge in Europe has many experts concerned. More than 10 countries in the European Union have already surpassed their April peaks for new daily cases. The math gets scary when you realize there is still more than two months until the start of winter. While I have […]

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I Built a COVID-19 Model that got 70-90% of its May and June predictions correct. I know nothing about epidemiology. Here’s How I Did It.

Tip: Check out my COVID-19 model predictions and performance on my COVID-19 Dashboard. You can ask anyone I know, and they’ll all tell you the exact same thing: I know very little about anything that has to do with the medical field and absolutely nothing about epidemiology and disease. So […]

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Coronavirus Model Swings: A Tale of Two Scenarios

It was all over the news yesterday: a key coronavirus model’s projected COVID-19 death counts by early August nearly doubled overnight after seeing a just-as-rapid decline in projected deaths about three weeks ago. What’s with that? A lot of people on TV seem to want to point the finger at […]

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A First Look at State Reopening Strategies

You’ve probably seen the extensive news coverage of some US states that are reopening. Georgia, which started reopening last week, has made the most headlines over the past week or so. A lot of people are asking what will happen if, say, Georgia were to open before the models say […]

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